Top 10 Tech Predictions for 2012

The year 2011 was a great year in the field of technology. We’ve seen a lot of new stuff and developments in the last 12 months. I’m sure 2012 will be even better and more exciting. Check out my top 10 tech predictions for 2012.

Some of them are a bit of a long shot while others I’m pretty confident about.

  • Apple will finally announce and release the iPhone 5. Sure ball.
  • Flagship smartphones will run on a dual-core 2.5GHz processor. A dual-core 1.5GHz could be the minimum clock speed for most while a dual-core 2.0GHz will be set as the median speed.
  • The storage industry will stabilize and HDD manufacturers will be able to ship out 5TB drives for desktop PCs, 2TB drives for laptops and 500GB for tablets (I’m thinking Western Digital will be the one to announce first). SSD will remain to be expensive for the most part.
  • Netbooks will finally come to an end and have to give way to a new breed of laptops. The current definition of netbooks is what’s preventing it to evolve (Atom, 1-2GB of RAM, 10.1-inch screens,etc). Newer ones will go the Macbook Air route to survive — something similar to the Aspire S3 with HDD at the 11 to 12 inch form factor. Price will be a deciding factor so it should be under Php25k.
  • Microsoft will buy Nokia for under $30 billion. Windows Phone 7 will challenge BB10, Android and iOS for a bigger piece of the pie. Windows 8 will help spread the Kool-Aid.
  • Mobile internet speeds in the Philippines will average at around 10Mbps. That means we’re gonna see widespread HSPA+ and possibly LTE roll-out in the second half of the year (Smart LTE comes to mind). At least, that’s what all the carriers will promise in big bold letters. DSL speeds will continue to languish and will not even reach 3Mbps on average.
  • Now that Sun Cellular is under the ownership of PLDT and Smart, a 3rd telco will likely emerge to add balance to the duopoly between Smart and Globe. PLDT/Smart’s 70% market share has gotten some people worried.
  • NFC (Near-Field Technology) will fail to get mass adoption especially with contactless payment systems. It will still be there and will be more common in handsets but might take a long while to be really used by many.
  • A Filipino tech start-up will be bought by Google. Their revenue model screams “it’s Google or bust”. If negotiations will not work out, they’d burn thru all the investor money and could go under.
  • We will finally get to see WiFi in the sky. It’s a long shot but it’s possible one of the big telcos and a major domestic airline will do a beta test on this later this year. Perhaps Cebu Pacific and Smart?

I’m crossing my fingers I’ll hit 50% with my predictions here but it sure is exciting if you just think about it.

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Avatar for Abe Olandres

Abe is the founder and Editor-in-Chief of YugaTech with over 20 years of experience in the technology industry. He is one of the pioneers of blogging in the country and considered by many as the Father of Tech Blogging in the Philippines. He is also a technology consultant, a tech columnist with several national publications, resource speaker and mentor/advisor to several start-up companies.

63 Responses

  1. Avatar for Henry Henry says:

    How about the transparent phones? As far as I know, the technology does exist but they don’t want to show it in the market yet.

  2. Avatar for Kit Kit says:

    how about the ipad3? some say it’ll be out on the 24th of feb

  3. Avatar for enzo enzo says:

    I hope the Nokia-Microsoft buyout doesn’t happen. I wish to see Marko Ahtisaari to be the new CEO. We need more visionaries this year.

  4. Avatar for Soul Annihilator Soul Annihilator says:

    My own predition: A laptop-tablet hybrid will come out this year, with the AMOLED screen, keyboard, and you can run windows 7 (or 8) on it. This device will totally kill netbooks once it comes out.

    Lol, this is more like a wishful thinking than a prediction.

  5. Avatar for PINOYTHINKING PINOYTHINKING says:

    nice tech predictions,..i’m excited these tech things to be true….

  6. Avatar for halabira halabira says:

    more internet congestion, the less we download the faster the internet speed telcos give, the more we download the slower internet speed. look at telcos TOS. @12mbps=200php/180mb, 1-3mbps=unli data, 2mbps only 800mb a day, internet sucks sa pinas lol

  7. Avatar for edson edson says:

    I think apple might surprise us by calling it iphone 6. It’s the 6th iphone version anyway. haha!

  8. Avatar for Gian Gian says:

    Looking forward to the emergence of another telco. Competition is always good for consumers.

  9. Avatar for jonaflormicfren jonaflormicfren says:

    Some might happen others will not. Stay updated and ready for any change..

  10. Avatar for Soul Annihilator Soul Annihilator says:

    I hate to admit it but #6 is just so obvious considering the current situation DSL is in right now. Higher speeds are coming out lately (for PLDT at least) but the the price is atrocious. It totally sucks, because wired connection is still much better than wireless/3G/4G internet.

    I definitely hope that wireless internet will not kill wired internet, unless the telcos can deliver guaranteed promised speeds and seamless connections.

  11. Avatar for 1337 1337 says:

    Pinoy tech startup is Insynch. (Middleware – PC to GDocs)

    Google will crush this as soon as GDrive (or whatever it is called) gets mainstream/released.

  12. Avatar for roiji roiji says:

    i do not quite agree to the last two :}

    if wi-tribe can release 4G phones, then it’s a formidable opponent to globe and smart..

  13. Avatar for mel galima mel galima says:

    +1 to that

  14. Avatar for jdGONEMAD jdGONEMAD says:

    how ’bout the realization of “Vangie” !

  15. Avatar for Tmcr7 Tmcr7 says:

    Great insights! May I add to the predictions?

    Samsung will launch the Galaxy S III in February.
    ASUS will launch the Padphone
    Nokia will launch the Lumia 900

  16. Avatar for richard richard says:

    I’m not sure but a third telco is viable. http://maps.mobileworldlive.com/network_info.php?nid=23006&org_id=23005&cid=223

  17. Avatar for jason jason says:

    My own predictions:

    – MS will NOT buy Nokia but Nokia will still selling WP7 and Nokia will make a Windows 8 tablets just like their first netbook
    – Netbooks will not survive because they cannot run Metro apps on Windows 8 due to its screen resolution 1024×600 instead of recommended Windows 8’s screen resolution (1024×768 or higher)

  18. Avatar for goodha goodha says:

    that yugatech will still be running and we will still be reading yugatech on dec 22, 2012.

  19. Avatar for AdrianU AdrianU says:

    Running a dual core mobile processor at 2.5 Ghz isn’t very economical considering cost as well as power consumption profile in average real world usage.

    Running a quad core processor at around 1.5 to 2 Ghz is probably the best we can hope for with emphasis on hardware acceleration so CPU cycles can be finished faster thus allowing the processor to return to idle state sooner.

    But I could be wrong… (^_^)

  20. Avatar for vondich vondich says:

    Are those really predictions or just wishful thinkings? :-)

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