How long before Facebook becomes old?
Social networks come and go. It took about 3 or 4 years after Friendster first became a craze in the Philippines to wither and be almost forgotten. MySpace had a number of years to its credit in the US as well.
Even Google’s own homegrown social networking site, Orkut, saw its traffic dwindled into half in Brazil (where it’s still the huge there), according to Alexa data.
All good things must come to an end. So while everyone is still going gaga over FB statuses and FarmVille, I’d like to look forward and predict how many years Facebook still has before it becomes old. How long does it have before Filipinos look at it and remind them of Friendster.
When that happens, I don’t even think it will be Facebook’s mistake but because people just grew tired of the site or a new hip and cool one is invented.
So, tell me what you think — how many years does Facebook still have? My bet is 2 or 3 years, tops.