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How long before Facebook becomes old?

Social networks come and go. It took about 3 or 4 years after Friendster first became a craze in the Philippines to wither and be almost forgotten. MySpace had a number of years to its credit in the US as well.

Even Google’s own homegrown social networking site, Orkut, saw its traffic dwindled into half in Brazil (where it’s still the huge there), according to Alexa data.

facebook All good things must come to an end. So while everyone is still going gaga over FB statuses and FarmVille, I’d like to look forward and predict how many years Facebook still has before it becomes old. How long does it have before Filipinos look at it and remind them of Friendster.

When that happens, I don’t even think it will be Facebook’s mistake but because people just grew tired of the site or a new hip and cool one is invented.

So, tell me what you think — how many years does Facebook still have? My bet is 2 or 3 years, tops.

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Avatar for Abe Olandres

Abe is the founder and Editor-in-Chief of YugaTech with over 20 years of experience in the technology industry. He is one of the pioneers of blogging in the country and considered by many as the Father of Tech Blogging in the Philippines. He is also a technology consultant, a tech columnist with several national publications, resource speaker and mentor/advisor to several start-up companies.

59 Responses

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  3. Avatar for foool foool says:

    I don’t have a Facebook account.

    Facebook only makes your world smaller and makes you visible to an otherwise invisible and uncaring world of the internet. Drop the FB accounts and go back to being normal again.

  4. Avatar for jectol jectol says:

    When they stop innovating. People always want to see something new and if Facebook or any other social networking site stops doing that, people will start leaving.

  5. Avatar for mobigeek mobigeek says:

    Only BORING pipol GETS BORED in FB, I think FB will last a decade as long as MAFIA WARS still exist, new expansions, new loots etc. :)

  6. Avatar for dk dk says:

    as long as there are new stuff with mafia wars

    lol

  7. Avatar for Jes Jes says:

    I’m getting really bored with FB. Any suggested alternative?

  8. Avatar for Bogcess Bogcess says:

    I agree with what yuga said. 2-3 years tops.

  9. Avatar for Mayan Mayan says:

    Gaano ba katagal bago mag December 21, 2012?

  10. Avatar for DrillMind DrillMind says:

    I think …2 years..dapat kasi ilagay nila sa Farmville ung mga Filipino seeds..like…Upo..Ampalaya..Sitaw…wala mag sasawa mga farmer..pag wala sila nakikita mga bago sa isang game..dapat din merun na talipapa dun…pwedi ka magbenta..

  11. Avatar for roma roma says:

    2-4 yrs maybe…

    I noticed the increase of Ad-related posts. People get tagged with items for sale. If this continues to increase FB might become the new multiply.

  12. Avatar for nitecrawler nitecrawler says:

    10 years.. unless the founder suddenly quits because of burnout..

  13. Avatar for The Teknisyan The Teknisyan says:

    Nice question.. Since FB and twitter became famous at almost the same time.. this will probably apply to Twitter as well. :)

    Considering that Friendster, Myspace and Orkut did’nt have that killer apps not like what FB is enjoying right now.. I’ll give FB approximate life span of 10 years before they fade away or another similar service steal FB’s spotlight… so better take that $$$ being offered soon than miss the opportunity of a life time.. ;)

    Learn from Youtube!!!!

    http://teknisyan.blogspot.com

  14. Avatar for kengkeng kengkeng says:

    Only time will tell. It is now on its growth stage, so it still has to mature before a decline on usage can be observed. A lot of analysts claim that FB still has untapped potentials. In short, they still have to find out how to make money out of FB.

    As long as FB remains innovative, people will not grow tired of it. FB will remain the most popular social networking site for the years to come unless a new group of ivy league intellectuals start up an ultra sleek version of FB.

    I even have a hunch that it will become more popular than Google. ;-)

  15. Avatar for Newwaver Newwaver says:

    Catch the Wave!

    Google Wave = FB Killah!

  16. Avatar for TechPinas TechPinas says:

    I’d say 2 years max.

    This ‘adding friends up and getting in touch with them’ craze is becoming tired.

    Now that almost EVERYONE is online, why limit your ‘update circles’ to just friends and friends of friends? Soon, we’d have to learn for to categorize our friends better.

    :)

    Ah, the future holds to much promise.

    The best is definitely yet to come for cyberspace.

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